Strength
Strength
|
67 20 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
564 20 Strength Momentum |
698 36.7(65) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/15 | at Navajo Prep ? | 0.013 | 506 | L 1- 5 | Worse (-4) | 350 | 53% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Pojoaque !! | 0.034 | 689 | W 2- 1 | Better (+3) | 693 | 30% | |
| 09/10/15 | at Portales | 0.037 | 799 | L 2- 6 | Expected (-1) | 496 | 18% | |
| 09/14/15 | at Santa Fe Indian ! | 0.069 | 686 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 741 | 30% | |
| 09/16/15 | Taos | 0.051 | 952 | L 1- 6 | Expected (-1) | 490 | 11% | |
| 09/19/15 | Hatch | 0.125 | 782 | L 4- 6 | Expected (0) | 557 | 26% | |
| 09/21/15 | ATC ?? | 0.155 | 393 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 362 | 76% | |
| 09/23/15 | at Capital | 0.171 | 947 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 570 | 7% | |
| 09/25/15 | St. Michael's | 0.050 | 1182 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 447 | 1% | |
| 09/28/15 | Monte del Sol | 0.343 | 698 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 615 | 37% | |
| 10/01/15 | at Hatch | 0.336 | 782 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 488 | 19% | |
| 10/05/15 | Santa Fe Prep | 0.565 | 654 | W 3- 2 | Better (+2) | 643 | 42% | |
| 10/07/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.087 | 1182 | L 0-10 | Expected (-4) | 369 | 1% | |
| 10/12/15 | at Santa Fe Prep | 0.795 | 654 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 575 | 34% | |
| 10/15/15 | at ATC | 0.830 | 393 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 545 | 68% | |
| 10/21/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.983 | 698 | L 0- 1 | Expected (+1) | 597 | 29% | |
| 10/23/15 | Santa Fe Indian | 0.856 | 686 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 509 | 38% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Desert Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 698, while
Desert Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 558
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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